TOWARDS A COMPREHENSIVE CLASSIFICATION OF SEASONALITY TYPES IN TOURISM: THEORETICAL APPROACHES

Marius Ionuț Gordan, Tabita Cornelia Adamov, Anka Roxana Pascariu, Elena Peț, Tiberiu Iancu

Abstract


We propose, through this paper, a way to label destinations by their seasonality using the seasonal pattern from the seasonal trend decomposition. For each destination, we propose five variables derived from the seasonal curve: when the peak happens (timing), how big the swing is (amplitude), how many peaks there are (one or two), how wide the busy period is (shoulders), and overall seasonal strength. We assigned the following types: Summer peak (peak in Jun–Aug), Winter peak (Dec–Feb), Dual seasonality (two clear peaks), Strong shoulders (broad plateau around a single peak), or Flat/low (weak seasonality). Thresholds come from the data’s own percentiles, so the method is reproducible, scalable to thousands of series, and easy to interpret for marketing, staffing, and capacity planning.

Keywords


Tourism seasonality; STL decomposition; MSTL; rule-based classification; seasonal strength

Full Text:

PDF

References


ALMAZROUEE ABDULLA I, ALMESHAL ABDULLAH M, ALMUTAIRI ABDULRAHMAN S, ALENEZI MOHAMMAD R, ALHAJERI SALEH N, ALSHAMMARI FAISAL M, 2020, Forecasting of Electrical Generation Using Prophet and Multiple Seasonality of Holt–Winters Models: A Case Study of Kuwait, Applied Sciences, 8412

ALSHUQAIQI AHMAD, OMAR SHIDA IRWANA, 2019, Causes and Implication of Seasonality in Tourism, Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems, 1480-1486

ANDREOZZI LUCÍA, TERESA BLACONÁ MARÍA, MAGNANO LUCIANA, 2014, Time Series Models for Different Seasonal Patterns, Journal,

DÍAZ-PÉREZ FLORA MARIA, GARCÍA-GONZÁLEZ CARLOS GUSTAVO, FYALL ALAN, 2021, Accommodation, Seasonality and Domestic Tourism to National Parks: Implications for Environmental Policy, Sustainability, 5072

DURO JUAN ANTONIO, TURRIÓN-PRATS JUDITH, 2019, Tourism Seasonality Worldwide, Tourism Management Perspectives, 38-53

GENG DEHUI CHRISTINA, INNES JOHN L., WU WANLI, WANG WEIWEI, WANG GUANGYU, 2021, Seasonal Variation in Visitor Satisfaction and Its Management Implications in Banff National Park, Sustainability, 1681

GORDAN MARIUS-IONUȚ, POPESCU COSMIN ALIN, CĂLINA JENICA, ADAMOV TABITA CORNELIA, MĂNESCU CAMELIA MARIA, IANCU TIBERIU, 2024, Spatial Analysis of Seasonal and Trend Patterns in Romanian Agritourism Arrivals Using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Loess, Agriculture, 229

GORDAN MARIUS IONUȚ, ADAMOV TABITA, PEȚ ELENA, MILIN ANDA, MĂNESCU CAMELIA, CIOLAC RAMONA, IANCU TIBERIU, 2023, Seasonal Dynamics and Trend Analysis of Agritourism and Mainstream Tourism in Transylvania: A Comparative Study, Analele Universitatii din Oradea, Fascicula Ecotoxicologie, Zootehnie si Tehnologii în Industria Alimentara,

HYNDMAN ROB J, ATHANASOPOULOS GEORGE, 2018, Forecasting: Principles and Practice, Journal,

RITCHIE JR BRENT, BELIVEAU DONALD, 1974, Hallmark Events: An Evaluation of a Strategic Response to Seasonality in the Travel Market, Journal of travel research, 14-20

SU ZHEN, WEN RUYI, ZENG YANYU, YE KAI, KHOTPHAT TANAPORN, 2022, The Influence of Seasonality on the Sustainability of Livelihoods of Households in Rural Tourism Destinations, Sustainability, 10572

WANG JIE, CHEN XI, 2025, Balancing Tourism Seasonality: The Role of Tourism Destination Image (Tdi) and Spatial Levels (Sls), Sustainability, 2569

WANG XINRUI, SUN JIUXIA, WEN HAIZHEN, 2019, Tourism Seasonality, Online User Rating and Hotel Price: A Quantitative Approach Based on the Hedonic Price Model, International Journal of Hospitality Management, 140-147

YABANCı ORHAN, 2023, Managing Seasonality in Tourism, International Journal of Geography and Geography Education, 353-369

ZHANG JING, YU ZHONGLEI, MIAO CHANGHONG, LI YUTING, QIAO SHUAI, 2022, Cultural Tourism Weakens Seasonality: Empirical Analysis of Chinese Tourism Cities, Land, 308


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2026 Marius Ionuț Gordan, Tabita Cornelia Adamov, Anka Roxana Pascariu, Elena Peț, Tiberiu Iancu

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


LUCRĂRI ȘTIINȚIFICE MANAGEMENT AGRICOL

ISSN print 1453-1410
ISSN online 2069-2307
(former ISSN 1453-1410, E-ISSN 2069-2307)

PUBLISHER: AGROPRINT Timisoara, Romania
PAPER ACCESS: Full text articles available for free
FREQUENCY: Annual
PUBLICATION LANGUAGE: English

______________________________________________________________________________________________

Banat`s University of Agricultural Sciences and Veterinary Medicine “King Michael I of Romania” from Timisoara
Faculty of Management and Rural Tourism
300645, Timisoara, Calea Aradului 119, Romania

E-mail: tabitaadamov2003 [at] yahoo.com
Phone: +40-256-277439, Fax.: +40-256-277031